Here are the current probabilities of winning season 11, as predicted by Intrade (as of 6:15 pm EST). I’m interested to see how these numbers evolve.
| Contestant | Probability of winning (%) |
|---|---|
| Phillip Phillips | 28.0 |
| Jessica Sanchez | 26.0 |
| Colton Dixon | 11.8 |
| Skylar Laine | 10.0 |
| Hollie Cavanagh | 9.0 |
| Shannon Magrane | 8.8 |
| Joshua Ledet | 7.8 |
| Elise Testone | 6.0 |
| Erika Van Pelt | 3.6 |
| DeAndre Brackensick | 3.2 |
| Heejun Han | 3.0 |
| Jeremy Rosado | 1.0 |
| Jermaine Jones | 1.0 |
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