| Name | Song | WNTS | DialIdol | VoteFair | Not-safe Probability | Accurate? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Jolley | Eleanor Rigby | 39 | 1.535 | 1 | 0.481 | Yes, Eliminated |
| Burnell Taylor | Let It Be | 51 | 1.776 | 2 | 0.445 | No (safe) |
| Lazaro Arbos | In My Life | 11 | 0.951 | 7 | 0.432 | No (safe) |
| Devin Velez | The Long And Winding Road | 50 | 2.732 | 3 | 0.420 | No call |
| Janelle Arthur | I Will | 69 | 0.371 | 7 | 0.363 | Yes (safe) |
| Amber Holcomb | She’s Leaving Home | 54 | 0.493 | 9 | 0.352 | No (bottom 3) |
| Kree Harrison | With A Little Help From My Friends | 77 | 1.170 | 18 | 0.217 | Yes (safe) |
| Candice Glover | Come Together | 80 | 1.869 | 19 | 0.201 | Yes (safe) |
| Angie Miller | Yesterday | 68 | 5.993 | 34 | 0.089 | Yes (safe) |
Paul Jolley was predicted eliminated, and that happened, so if that’s all you care about, great.
Otherwise, it was kind of a dismal night for predictions. Lazaro and Burnell showed they have more staying power than their numbers would suggest. Amber Holcomb was in the bottom 3, which was a bit of a surprise. Clearly Dialidol is underrating Lazaro, and Votefair is overrating Amber, relative to the voting public.
I find it disturbing that any of these women could be in the bottom 3 compared to these men.
I’ve noticed a couple weird things. Votefair seems to be polling a relatively small number of people (440 in this case), which is down markedly from last year (the top 9 last year had 707 votes). I don’t know whether that site is becoming less popular in general, or whether these contestants aren’t inspiring the kind of rabid fanbase that votes in such online polls, but it’s noteworthy. Also, Dialidol’s numbers at around midnight eastern time don’t change from then until the morning. Is Dialidol not counting any votes after 9pm PST? If that’s true, I can’t fathom why. Since I’m not active on their forum, I can’t easily see whether something has changed.
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