Name | Song | DialIdol | VoteFair | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Angie Miller | Sorry Seems to be the Hardest Word/ Try/Maybe |
57.333 | 3.799 | 45 | 0.382 |
Candice Glover | One/Next To Me/ Somewhere |
64.333 | 6.581 | 34 | 0.309 |
Kree Harrison | Perfect/ Here Comes Goodbye/ Better Dig Two |
49 | 8.664 | 20 | 0.309 |
Updated 11:35 AM EST. No change in ranking.
Update: NB: If you read the post below you’ll see that this year will be the second closest Top 3 in the model’s history. The only one more competitive was Elliott Yamin vs Katharine McPhee. Quite close contest this year.
Names in green are predicted safe. Names in red are the most likely bottom 3. Names in yellow are undecided. Any person not in green is not considered safe by the model. The most probable eliminated contestant is Angie, though none of these would be shocking.
DialIdol had a miserable failure last week, which is unusual. Typically, that index becomes more accurate as time goes by, and by the Top 4 one shouldn’t take its pronouncement lightly. Given that, Angie seems to be in trouble. As to this (official) projection, Angie had a poor Dialidol score and was in the middle on WNTS, and is thus the most likely to be eliminated based on historical factors. I would note that these numbers are fairly close to one another, and so this represents something close to a three-way tie.
However, if you are skeptical as to this call (as am I), then perhaps you will be more interested in the following “Dialidol is full of crap” projection:
Name | Song | DialIdol | VoteFair | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kree Harrison | Perfect/ Here Comes Goodbye/ Better Dig Two |
49 | 8.664 | 21 | 0.504 |
Candice Glover | One/Next To Me/Somewhere | 64.333 | 6.581 | 32 | 0.313 |
Angie Miller | Sorry Seems to be the Hardest Word/ Try/Maybe |
57.333 | 3.799 | 47 | 0.183 |
This is obviously not the official model call, but it may match your gut more than the official one does, as it certainly does mine. The Top 3 Tracker had Kree in third place all year with the exception of one week. Given the accuracy of the T3T, I tend to think Kree is heading home.
Nonetheless, the official call is Angie as of this writing.
Reuben is the statistician and lead writer at IdolAnalytics. Follow him on Twitter. His personal site (run all year round) is IdleAnalytics.