Top 12 forecast and Twitter sentiment

Probabilities are based on a bottom 3. Multiply by 10/9 if there is only a bottom 2.

Name WNTS Rating Popularity Order Safe Probability
Clark 79 29.305 9 > 98%
Quentin 69 13.87 11 > 98%
JAX 75 11.37 7 97.7%
Joey 59 8.87 10 97.2%
Tyanna 75 10.01 5 91.3%
Rayvon 74 6.615 2 84.3%
Nick 48 5.4 6 83.8%
Adanna 43 2.665 12 78.1%
Qaasim 27 1.55 8 70.9%
Maddie 43 4.42 4 50.4%
Sarina 33 4.795 1 25.5%
Daniel 9 1.13 3 24.5%

Green means projected safe. Red means projected in the bottom 3. Yellow means too close to call.

How did the stars align to put Sarina-Joi projected to be in trouble? Her performance was poorly rated, she is female, she sang at the top of the show, and her numbers on internet polls has cratered. It’s a bit of whiplash, but I can definitely see it happening.

Quentin is again called super-safe, which historically would be right-on, but Quentin is a bit of an odd-duck. He was called super-safe in the last round, and in fact was not voted through. True, he may have been in the Top 6 (we weren’t told), but nevertheless that’s not very confidence inspiring. I’m leery of the call.

As for Twitter, they also hate Daniel:

TwitterSentiment2015-03-12Jax, Tyanna, and Nick hold the top spots, with Joey and Qaasim garnering quite a few negative comments.

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