Three people in the bottom 3 who had never been there before. It’s only happened twice in 57 before (3% of the time):
Season 4, Final 9, Scott Savol, Nikko Smith, Vonzell Solomon
Season 5, Final 9, Elliott Yamin, Paris Bennett, Mandisa
I’m inclined to say that model could never have predicted that, but the system clearly needs a lot more refinement. Part of the problem is that the ratings were based on a few individuals, instead of a broad base survey. I’ll rerun the numbers when those numbers become available.
Still, just a shocking result. Without having seen the show, I can’t believe it.
How many times has the Idol singing last in the finals ever been eliminated? The somewhat surprising answer is that it has happened only once (and a half). It has never happened before the top 7 in any given season.
First, the exceptions to the rule. Siobahn Magnus was eliminated in the Final 6 of American Idol season 9, with a way-out-of-her-comfort-zone rendition of Shania Twain’s “Any Man Of Mine”. It scored a 43 on WhatNotToSing, an Idol ratings aggregator, the third worst score of that episode; but as a woman she had a built-in disadvantage, and a terrible performance by Lee DeWyze was given a pass by the voting public. In this case, even going last could not save Siobahn from going home. Continue reading